SOUTH AFRICA RACING TIPS


 

Tuesday, 5 March

KENILWORTH

Race 1
Race Summary: Good race. SAHARA CAT has the most experience of these runners and the form of her two outings is strong, so she'll be hard to beat. DISTING outran odds of 100-1 when finishing 2nd over this track and trip on debut and she ought to improve with the benefit of that experience. Any market support for well-bred newcomers KINDA WONDERFUL and POETIC PRINCESS, both of whom cost R650k, has to be respected. Watch the betting!

Selections:
#3 Sahara Cat, #9 Disting, #6 Kinda Wonderful, #8 Poetic Princess

Race 2
Race Summary: STAR PERFORMER has been costly to follow but did finish 2nd in both starts over 1000m, so could be worth another chance. EINSTEIN improved to finish 2nd over this course and distance last time and is likely to pose a threat. PINK MOON receives a 2.5kg sex allowance from those rivals and is capable of making her presence felt if ready to go on her return. CONNERY could get into the picture if building on the improvement of his latest outing, while CELTIC CHIEF is better than his last start suggests and isn't incapable of playing a role either.

Selections:
#2 Star Performer, #5 Einstein, #7 Pink Moon, #10 Celtic Chief

Race 3
Race Summary: Tricky. ELLORIX wouldn't be winning out of turn after several near misses, including her latest outing over this track and trip. CHARLENE has the form to pose a threat while JET TO THE SUN is open to any amount of improvement on her reappearance. TRUE HORIZON and JET GREEN ought to be competitive under light weights too. ROCKING PEONIE and LADY LOXTON aren't without chances either.

Selections:
#3 Ellorix, #7 Charlene, #4 Jet To The Sun, #9 Rocking Peonie

Race 4
Race Summary: Tricky. TAMBOURINE MAN has been knocking loudly at the door of a maiden victory and ought to play another leading role. Both KAAPSE KLOPSE and MOONACRES are closely matched on the form of their recent meetings with that rival so are likely to be competitive too. EXPLOSIVE SPEED and FUTURE GEM could also get into the picture if confirming the improvement of their latest outings. TERMINATOR is back from a layoff, during which he was gelded, but showed enough in his two starts to also warrant respect/inclusion.

Selections:
#7 Tambourine Man, #5 Kaapse Klopse, #12 Moonacres, #6 Explosive Speed

Race 5
Race Summary: HELIOTROPE has improved to finish 2nd in both outings over this course and distance with blinkers fitted. She had PRINCESS OF BAYEUX and ENGLISH MISTRESS behind her last time and should confirm that form on these terms. STATE CAPITOL progressed with each start and step up in trip last year, so is likely to be competitive on her reappearance if not in need of the run. LICKETY SPLIT should remain competitive despite a wide draw and has both the form and experience to play another leading role.

Selections:
#1 Heliotrope, #10 Lickety Split, #4 State Capitol, #7 English Mistress

Race 6
Race Summary: Open. TWO A PENNY has won consecutive course-and-distance outings and had several of these rivals behind her last time. Runner-up TYPEFACE is weighted to turn the tables, so too is ETERNAL OPTIMIST from a better draw now with the benefit of a 4kg claimer. CLOUD CHASER and CATTALEYA have a bit to find on that form but are also capable of posing more of a threat. Last-start maiden winner BASIC MEUVERS is progressive and looks leniently treated off her current rating, while SUMMER NIGHT CITY ought to remain competitive off just a 2-point higher mark.

Selections:
#2 Basic Maneuvers, #6 Typeface, #5 Two A Penny, #7 Eternal Optimist

Race 7
Race Summary: Wide open. ALLEZ MORIS caught the eye when a fast-finishing 3rd over this track and trip on his Cape comeback in a stronger race last time out, so could be the value off an unchanged mark from an inside gate. BARDOLINO and KINGDOM OF HEAVEN are proven at this level and likely to stake a claim, while this ease in grade should also bring about a more competitive showing from HOLDING THUMBS. Both UNICORN ALERT and BRIGHT GREEN are open to improvement trying this trip for the first time.

Selections:
#2 Allez Moris, #6 Unicorn Alert, #3 Bardolino, #8 Kingdom Of Heaven

Race 8
Race Summary: Open. THE TINKERMAN, RADICCHIO, MIGHTY MAC, NIGHT BOMBER and HAMMIES HERO are all closely matched on the form of a recent meeting in a similar contest over this track and trip. MONUMENTAL has finished 2nd in both previous outings over this distance, so cannot be underestimated off a lower mark. Last-start maiden winners RIVERSTONE, COUNTER ATTACK and DANCINGTOTHELIGHT all have more scope for improvement and, as such, ought to be competitive at this level. Go wide!

Selections:
#5 Riverstone, #3 Radicchio, #7 The Tinkerman, #2 Hammies Hero

Race 9
Race Summary: ROYAL LYTHAM has run well enough in both comeback outings to win a race of this nature, especially back against her own sex after a creditable effort over 1000m against males last time. However, she's worse at the weights with SIMPLY BEAUTIFUL who she beat when winning her maiden over course and distance. The latter, on the form of her last start, is also closely matched with SEEKING PEACE and BENEATH THE MOON, both of whom must be respected as a result. TIBETAN VOYAGE and the maiden LOOK FORWARD complete the shortlist.

Selections:
#3 Royal Lytham, #9 Simply Beautiful, #6 Beneath The Moon, #8 Seeking Peace

Race 10
Race Summary: Tricky. SILVER SCREEN has won back-to-back outings over this course and distance but is worse off at the weights with PALO QUEEN and EASY MONEY, so will have to raise her game again to complete the hat-trick. COUNTRY TIME, 5kg better off for a 2.75-length beating by the same rival, is also weighted to turn the tables. KHYTHERA, LA DIVINA and NIGHT VIGIL are relatively unexposed but have shown enough to suggest they could play leading roles too, despite carrying big weights. STRATA isn't without a chance either after a belated last-start maiden victory.

Selections:
#5 Silver Screen, #6 Palo Queen, #4 Kythera, #9 La Divina

Best Win: #3 SAHARA CAT                          
Best Value Bet: #2 ALLEZ MORIS                         
Best Longshot: #2 ALLEZ MORIS


 

         

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